Flooding – Deadly Risk in Illinois with 28 Deaths in 19 Years

Right now the attention is on the widespread flooding in Texas and Oklahoma, with the number of deaths sitting at 21 and climbing. Illinois has been faced with deadly flooding in the past. An examination of the national storm database reveals that Illinois has had 28 flood-related deaths in the last 19 years*.

Here are the numbers by year in Illinois. Some years like 2000, 2008, 2009, and 2013 were especially bad with 4 to 5 deaths each. A few years had no deaths, including 2004-07, 2012, and 2014. While not part of this database, six deaths were reported in Illinois during the 1993 flood, according the ISWS report.

Flood-related deaths in Illinois from 1996 to 2014, based on data from the National Climatic Data Center.
Flood-related deaths in Illinois from 1996 to 2014, based on data from the National Climatic Data Center.

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Tornado Deaths and Injuries in Illinois – No Upward Trends

Recently, an undergraduate in the Department of Atmospheric Science at the University of Illinois helped me look at the tornado statistics for Illinois. Among the things we plotted were the number of deaths and injuries reported in Illinois since 1950.
The first thing you will notice in both the deaths and injuries per year are the standout years of 1967 and 1990. The high numbers in 1967 were due to the Belvidere-Oak Lawn tornado outbreak of April 21, 1967. The high numbers in 1990 were due to the Plainfield tornado of August 28, 1990. As events have shown this year, despite our best efforts at warnings and preparations, an EF-4 or EF-5 tornado in an urban area will create significant casualties.
The second thing you will notice is that there are no upward trends in the deaths and injuries per year in Illinois despite our population increasing from 8.7 million in 1950 to 12.8 million in 2010. Some earlier research on Illinois tornadoes has shown that while we are detecting more EF-0 tornadoes (the weakest category) due to improved technology, we are seeing about the same number of EF-1 to EF-5 tornadoes through time.
By the way, the “EF” or “Enhanced Fujita” scale rates tornadoes from EF-0 (weakest) to EF-5 (strongest) based on damage. See Enhanced Fujita scale for more information.

tornado deaths by year in Illinois
Deaths per year in Illinois from tornadoes. Data from the National Climatic Data Center. Click to enlarge.

injuries per year in Illinois
Injuries per year in Illinois from tornadoes. Data from National Climatic Data Center. Click to enlarge.