Latest Outlooks for September and the Fall

On Thursday, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their outlooks for September and the 3-month period of September – November. For Illinois, they foresee an increased risk of above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation in September. Also, they foresee an increased risk of above-normal temperatures for September – November. They are taking a neutral stand on fall precipitation, saying that there are equal chances of above, below and near-normal precipitation.
The other news they have is that their drought outlook (second figure) shows expected improvement in the drought north of Interstate 74 in the upcoming months. Some improvement is expected in southern Illinois. However, they expect drought to persist in western Illinois through at least the end of November.

NOAA’s CPC outlook for September and September-November. Click to enlarge.

NOAA CPC drought outlook. Click to enlarge.

Bad News for August in Illinois

The NOAA Climate Prediction Center has updated their forecast for August. It’s not good news for Illinois with an increased risk of above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation.

NOAA Climate Prediction Center temperature forecast for August, released July 31, 2012. Illinois has a higher risk of above-normal temperatures in August. Click to enlarge.

NOAA Climate Prediction Center precipitation forecast for August, released July 31, 2012. Illinois has a higher risk of below-normal precipitation in August. Click to enlarge.