Spring Begins with a Very Warm March

The statewide average March temperature was 47.7°F, 6.3° above the 1991-2020 normal for March and the 7th warmest March on record statewide. The statewide average total March precipitation was 2.76 inches, 0.18 inches below normal and the 58th driest March on record statewide.

March Temperatures Start and End Like a Lamb

March temperatures had ebb and flow that is typical of spring in Illinois, yet most days last month were 5 to 25 degrees warmer than normal, as shown by daily temperatures and departures in Elgin (Figure 1). The middle part of the month featured a particularly large temperature swing as a powerful cold front moved through the region. Average temperatures in Elgin dropped from nearly 70 degrees on March 15 to 22 degrees on March 17.

Figure 1. Daily March average temperatures and departures in Elgin.

March average temperatures ranged from the low 40s in northern Illinois to the mid-50s in southern Illinois, between 2 and 7 degrees above normal (Figure 2). Multiple waves of late spring-like weather brought temperatures reaching well into the 80s across the state, including 83 in Quincy and Decatur. Very cold weather, while fleeting, did bring temperatures well below freezing across the state, including nighttime low temperatures of 10 degrees in Lincoln and 12 degrees in Rockford. The coldest place in the state last month was Elgin with an average of 40.9 degrees, while the warmest was Smithland Lock and Dam in Massac County with an average of 53.1 degrees.  

The milder weather broke 71 daily high maximum temperature records in Illinois and 13 daily high minimum temperature records. Meanwhile, no daily low minimum or low maximum temperature records were broken in Illinois last month.

Figure 2. Maps of (left) March average temperature and (right) March average temperature departures from normal.

Active March with Plenty of Severe Weather

March is the transition month between the normally driest time of the year in the winter and the normally wettest time of the year between April and July. Consequently, we have experienced years where March was extremely dry (only 1.13 inches in 1981) and those that were very wet (6.30 inches in 1973). This year March was only slightly wetter than normal statewide, but with some large gradients across the state.

Total precipitation ranged from less than 1.5 inches in far southwest Illinois to over 8 inches in northeast Illinois. The northern half of the state was 1 to 4 inches wetter than normal last month, while most areas south of Interstate 64 were 1 to 3 inches drier than normal (Figure 3).

Figure 3. March total precipitation (left) and March precipitation departure from normal (right).

While severe weather, including thunderstorms, strong winds, hail, and tornadoes, occur every month in Illinois, they tend to be most common between March and July. An active storm track and abundant moist, warm air from the Gulf of Mexico produced multiple severe weather outbreaks in March across the Midwest. In all, there were 58 tornado warnings issued in Illinois, the most on record for March (Figure 4). The NOAA Storm Prediction Center lists 33 tornado reports in Illinois last month, which may be adjusted before a final number is released. Included in these reports is a confirmed EF-2 tornado that caused significant damage to Neoga High School in Cumberland County on March 15, and multiple tornadoes that damaged or destroyed buildings in Douglas County on March 30.

Figure 4. Tornado warning frequency in March by year across Illinois. Graph is courtesy of the Iowa Environmental Mesonet: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/.

As is the case in most years, March precipitation came in many forms, including snow. However, measurable snowfall was mostly contained to the northern third of the state. Monthly snowfall totals in those places that were able to measure the snow ranged from around 2 inches in the Quad Cities region to over 7 inches in parts of Knox County and Boone County in western and northern Illinois, respectively.

April and Early Growing Season Outlooks

Climatological spring starts with March, but most folks associate spring more with April and May, as weather in Illinois begins to consistently feel springlike. The outlook for April through June shows best chances of warmer and wetter than normal weather for much of Illinois. Most noteworthy is the warm and dry signal that dominates the mountain west and western plains in the first half of the growing season.

Figure 5. Climate Prediction Center (left) temperature and (right) precipitation outlooks for April through June.