The Climate Prediction Center (NOAA) just released their outlook for July as well as July-August-September. In their own words, Illinois has equal chances (EC) of above-, below-, or near-average temperatures and precipitation for this summer. It’s what I would call a “neutral forecast” for us.
On the other hand, the Northern Plains are expected to be cooler and wetter than average for both July and July-September. Meanwhile, much of the South is expected to be warmer than average this summer.
One factor that will not dominate this summer is La Nina. Sea surface temperatures in the Pacific along the equator have returned to neutral conditions and will remain so at least through this summer.
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